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Forgetting the next application

 

By: Scott Bradner

 

In early September the US Department of Justice felt somehow moved to get involved in the network neutrality debate.  (press release: http://www.usdoj.gov/atr/public/press_releases/2007/225782.htm, submission itself: http://www.usdoj.gov/atr/public/comments/225767.htm)  What drove them to do so is not at all clear to me.  They imply they did so because they think they understand the issues.  From the contents of their submission to the FCC I would argue with that assumption.  They got a lot of the details wrong, drew the wrong conclusions from the statistics they quote and missed the most important factor.

 

The claim they have expertise in this area based on their review of the many recent telecom mergers.  Quite a few commentators have taken issue with the conclusions the DoJ reached in most of these cases but I have to admit they did undertake some sort of review in each of the cases. 

 

The main DoJ assertions are:

o unfettered competition is the way to "foster innovation and development of the Internet,"

 

o limiting the ability of carriers to charge content owners and service providers extra would mean that you and I would "shift the entire burden of implementing costly network expansions and improvements to consumers,"

 

o there are few examples of carriers discriminating between applications

 

o no one can agree on what "network neutrality" means

 

o some discrimination  can be a good thing

 

o the Internet is growing just fine without regulations

 

I agree that real competition would likely moot the network neutrality debate but there are very few places in the US where there is real competition for high-speed Internet service.  Even where both a telephone carrier and a cable company offer service there may not be much in the way of real competition.  Two identically minded (both believe that the future of the Internet is for content delivery from large content providers) tend to be less than aggressive competitors.

 

The DoJ seems to think that content providers do not already pay for their Internet service.  There is no way that the "entire" cost will ever shift to consumers unless the carriers decide to give Google et al a free ride.

 

The DoJ submission is accurate about the dearth of current reports of unfair Internet treatment.  But will the FCC be able to actually react within a reasonable time period if that changes dramatically in the future?

 

The DoJ points to Post Office express mail as an example of good discrimination but they miss the core point that the customer decides if they want to buy the better service.  No network neutrality advocates that I know of would try to block me from buying a high-speed connection and few would say that it would be wrong for a carrier to offer me, as a customer, the option of paying for them to handle different traffic in different ways.  The carriers want to extort money from content providers, who have already paid for their connection once, instead of offering me options.

 

The DoJ report points out that the Internet is growing just fine without regulations and they are right but they miss the not so small detail that the growth is of an Internet that is in fact (as they point out) essentially neutral.  Those figures do not indicate what would happen in a non-neutral net.

 

The biggest issue the DoJ points out is the one of paying for expanding the Internet infrastructure.  No question - that is a real problem, but experience elsewhere (e.g., "Fast Internet for individuals and businesses?" http://www.networkworld.com/columnists/2007/090407-bradner.html) says that can happen without empowering the carriers to extort the service and content providers.

 

The biggest issue that the DoJ misses is that the Internet has blossomed because the net was not designed for the applications that currently run over it -- it was designed to be flexible enough to support the next application that some one thought of.  Letting the carriers control what runs over the Internet and at what quality it runs will destroy that flexibility.   The future of the Internet will be changed if that happens, but not for the better.

 

disclaimer:  Harvard, and other Universities, are designed to teach the next subject to the next student but that design has not led the university to comment on the network neutrality debate so the above is my own opinion.